by Manal Barakat, SeaNewsEditor
Climate experts predict the Atlantic hurricane season 2025 could surpass the normal average of the past three decades.
The Atlantic hurricane season, usually from 1 June to 30 November, typically sees an average of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.
However, Colorado State University (CSU) researchers forecast an above-average number of storms for 2025.
The university's Department of Atmospheric Science attributes this forecast to higher-than-average sea surface temperatures in the subtropical eastern Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea, which are conducive to hurricane formation.
Specifically, the CSU team anticipates nine hurricanes this year.
The tropical Pacific is currently experiencing weak La Niña conditions, which are expected to transition to El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral conditions in the coming months.
Despite some uncertainty regarding the ENSO phase during the peak hurricane season from August to October, the likelihood of El Niño remains low at 13%.
Overall, CSU predicts 17 named storms, nine of which are expected to become hurricanes and four of which will reach major hurricane strength (Category 3, 4, or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale) with sustained winds of 111 miles per hour or greater.
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